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Thursday 28 September 2017

Moore Stephens reports fifth successive year of decline in operating costs

International accountant and shipping consultant Moore Stephens says total annual operating costs in the shipping industry fell by an average of 1.1% in 2016. This compares with the 2.4% average fall in costs recorded for 2015. For the second successive year, all categories of expenditure were down on those for the previous 12-month period, most notably for insurance costs and stores.

The findings are set out in OpCost 2017 (www.opcostonline.com), Moore Stephens’ unique ship operating costs benchmarking tool, which reveals that total operating costs for the tanker, bulker and container ship sectors were all down in 2016, the financial year covered by the study. On a year-on-year basis, the tanker index was down by 3 points, or 1.7%, while the bulker index also fell by 3 points, or 1.9%. The container ship index, meanwhile, was down by 1 point, or 0.6%. The corresponding figures in last year’s OpCost study showed falls of 6 points in both the bulker and container ship index, and of 4 points in the tanker index.

There was a 0.4% overall average fall in 2016 crew costs, compared to the 2015 figure, which itself was 1.2% down on 2015. By way of comparison, the 2008 report revealed a 21% increase in this category. Tankers overall experienced a fall in crew costs of 1.8% on average, compared to the 1.3% fall recorded in 2015. All categories of tankers reported a reduction in crew costs for 2016 with the exception of Aframax Tankers and Suezmax Tankers, which recorded increases of 0.8% and 0.2% respectively, compared to reductions for 2015 of 1.9% and 2.6%. The most significant reductions in tanker crew costs for 2016 were the 2.8% and 2.7% recorded by Tankers 5,000 to 10,000 dwt and by Handysize Product Tankers respectively.

For bulkers, meanwhile, the overall average fall in crew costs in 2016 was 0.6%, compared to 1.1% recorded 12 months ago. All categories of bulkers reported a reduction in crew costs, the biggest fall being the 1.2% reduction in spending by the owners of Capesize Bulkers.

Expenditure on crew costs in the container ship sector, meanwhile, was up by 1.1% compared to the fall of 3.3% recorded for 2015. The biggest increase in this category was the 2.1% recorded for ships of between 2,000 and 6,000 teu, which in 2015 led the reductions in the container ship crew costs category with a fall in expenditure of 3.6%.

Expenditure on stores was down by 2.9% overall, compared to the fall of 4.3% in 2015. The biggest fall in such costs was the 5.1% recorded by owners of container ships of between 100 and 1,000 teu. In the same tonnage category, the fall in stores costs for owners of container ships of between 1,000 and 2,000 teu was 4.9%, the same figure as that recorded in the tanker sector for Aframax Tankers. Other significant reductions included Handysize Bulkers (4.8%) and Panamax Bulkers (4.4%).

For bulk carriers overall, stores costs fell by an average of 4.2%, compared to a fall of 7.7% in 2015, while in the tanker and container ship sectors the overall reductions in stores costs were 2.2% and 5.2% respectively, compared to the corresponding figures of 4.3% and 5.5% for 2015. The only rise in stores expenditure by any category of vessel was the 0.3% increase recorded by Coastal Tankers.

There was an overall fall in repairs and maintenance costs of 0.8% in 2016, compared to the 4.3% reduction recorded for 2015. The biggest fall in such costs was that recorded by Panamax Bulkers (3.2%), closely followed by Capesize Bulkers (3.1%). All vessels in the bulker category recorded reduced repairs and maintenance expenditure, but there were increases in the tanker sector, most notably the 2.4% additional outlay by Panamax Tankers compared to 2015. There were examples of small increases in repairs and maintenance expenditure in the container ship sector, while for Ro-Ros the increase amounted to 2.2%.

The overall drop in costs of 3.0% recorded for insurance compares to the 3.2% fall recorded for 2015. No vessel types in any of the tonnage and size categories included in OpCost paid more for their insurance in 2016 than in 2015.The biggest reduction in such costs was the 5.2% recorded by container ships of between 2,000 and 6,000 teu. Not far behind were Handysize Bulkers and Panamax Bulkers (4.7% and 4.6% respectively), while in the tanker category it was Aframax Tankers which led the way in terms of reduced insurance expenditure (4.6%). Ro-Ro owners, meanwhile, paid 4.0% less for their insurance in 2016 than in 2015, in which year they spent an additional 2.4% in premiums compared to the previous year.

Richard Greiner, Moore Stephens Partner, Shipping & Transports, says: “This is the fifth successive year-on-year reduction in overall ship operating costs, although the reduction this time is less than half the figure recorded 12 months ago for 2015.

“The biggest cost reductions were those in the Insurance category. Insurance is a major item of expenditure for all owners and operators, without which most would not be able to operate on an international basis. The fact that such costs continue to fall may be due in part to a reduction in the incidence of major casualties. Most of the larger reductions in insurance costs tracked by OpCost, however, were recorded by bulk carriers, which are no strangers to the pages of the casualty reports. So cheaper insurance must also say much about the fierce competition for business which exists throughout marine underwriting markets worldwide.

“The next biggest cost reduction was in the Stores category, where the slower than anticipated improvement in world oil prices doubtless had a continuing beneficial knock-on effect on lube oil costs in 2016.

“The reduction in Repairs and Maintenance costs in 2016 was 3.5% down on the figure for the previous year. This confirms that maintenance can only be postponed for so long by owners and operators who accept the need to invest in their ability to compete for business in a highly competitive market which is more tightly regulated than ever before. Strategic short-term lay-up is a waypoint rather than a destination.

“Over the years, the OpCost study has recorded annual average crew cost increases of more than 20%, but there was a reduction in such costs this time of less than half of one percent compared to the figure for 2015. The continuing challenging shipping markets are doubtless a significant factor.

“Although 2016 was another difficult period for shipping, the year closed on a note of rising confidence, according to the Moore Stephens Shipping Confidence Survey. Owners and charterers were more confident, than for some time previously, of making new investments, and there were improved expectations of higher freight rates in all three main tonnage categories. The expectation, too, was that oil prices and the Baltic Dry Index could only go up.

“That increased confidence, which has carried over into 2017, should logically lead to greater activity, which will mean higher operating costs. When freight rates allow owners to absorb such increased costs, the numbers start to look healthy. At present, however, owners and operators are not earning what they should be, or would like to be, from most of the markets in which they operate. Positive net sentiment is good, but it is not enough. Something has to change.

“It is also true that in shipping – as elsewhere – what goes down must come up. For example, OpCost records that, at year-end 2008, the average daily operating cost for a Capesize Bulker was US$ 7,512. In 2016, it was US$ 6,691. For a VLCC, the comparable figures are US$ 10,812 and US$ 9,950 respectively.

“Future OpCost studies are likely to reflect the start of spending – or planning for – the introduction of the likes of the Ballast Water Management Convention, the new global limit on SOx emissions from 2020 and initiatives to contain cyber-crime, which are assuming increasing importance in the industry. The results will also reflect, albeit subtly, the effect of geopolitical developments, which can seldom have been in a greater state of flux than they are today.

“Shipping can certainly find encouragement in a fifth successive annual fall in operating costs. But nothing is for ever, and nothing is more certain than that the shipping industry will continue to be characterised by uncertainty, which can be both its strength and its weakness.”

Moore Stephens LLP is noted for a number of industry specialisations and is widely acknowledged as a leading shipping, offshore maritime and transport & logistics adviser. Moore Stephens LLP is a member firm of Moore Stephens International Limited, one of the world's leading accounting and consulting associations, with 626 offices of independent member firms in 108 countries, employing 27,997 people and generating revenues in 2016 of $2.7 billion. www.moorestephens.co.uk


For more information:
Richard Greiner
Moore Stephens LLP
Tel: +44 (0)20 7334 9191
richard.greiner@moorestephens.com

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Monday 25 September 2017

Shipping confidence continues to edge upwards

Shipping confidence reached its highest rating in the past three years in the three months to end-August 2017, according to the latest Shipping Confidence Survey from international accountant and shipping adviser Moore Stephens.

The average confidence level expressed by respondents to the survey was up slightly from the 6.1 out of 10.0 recorded in the previous survey in May 2017 to a three-year high of 6.2. The improved rating was attributable mainly to increased confidence on the part of owners, up from 6.1 to 6.5. Confidence levels on the part of brokers, meanwhile, fell from 6.4 to 6.3, while managers and charterers recorded more substantial drops – from 6.2 to 5.8 and from 6.4 to 4.7 respectively, the lowest levels in both cases since May 2016. The survey was launched in May 2008 with an overall confidence rating of 6.8.

Confidence levels were significantly up in Asia from 5.6 to 6.4, their highest level since May 2014. Confidence was also up in Europe, from 6.2 to 6.3, but down in North America, from 6.4 to 5.8.

Despite familiar concerns about excess tonnage capacity in many trades and continuing uncertainty over Brexit, several respondents saw reasons for optimism over the coming 12 months, not least as a result of what one described as “some green shoots of a relatively broad-based rebound in economic activity.” This helped maintain, at a three-year high, expectations of major investments being made over the next 12 months. Concern, however, persisted over political instability, the incipient cost of increased legislation, and the probable entry into the market of low-cost newbuildings.

One respondent said: “The future of the maritime industry will certainly be interesting, but will it also be enjoyable?”

The likelihood of respondents making a major investment or significant development over the next 12 months was unchanged from the previous survey at 5.4 out of a maximum possible score of 10.0. This represents the highest level achieved since August 2014, and this despite a slight fall this time (from 5.9 to 5.8) in the expectations of owners, and a much larger one (from 6.3 to 4.0) by charterers. The expectations of respondents in Asia were up, from 5.1 to 5.9, but down in Europe, from 5.4 to 5.2.

As was the case in the May 2017 survey, 50% of respondents expected finance costs to increase over the coming year. Owners’ expectations were unchanged at 48%, but both managers and charterers (where the figures were up from 57% to 62% and from 57% to 67%, respectively) were anticipating dearer finance. Brokers were alone among the main categories of respondent in recording a fall (from 63% to 42%) in the numbers expecting finance costs to go down.

Demand trends, cited by 27% of respondents, continued to be the factor expected to influence performance most significantly over the next 12 months, followed by competition (17%) and tonnage supply (15%), the latter displacing finance costs in third place. One respondent said: “Confidence is impaired by the inexperience of investment houses resulting in over-liquidity in the market, which feels that it has to spend just for the sake of it – a ‘greed-eats-brain’ mentality.”

The number of respondents expecting higher rates over the next 12 months in the tanker market was up on the previous survey, from 32% to 45%, while there was a 2% fall, to 14%, in those anticipating lower tanker rates. Meanwhile, although there was a two percentage-point fall, to 56%, in the numbers anticipating higher rates in the dry bulk sector, this was still the second-highest figure in three-and-a-half years. In the container ship sector, the numbers expecting higher rates dropped by six percentage points to 40%, while there was a five percent increase, to 17%, in those anticipating lower container ship rates.

Net sentiment was positive in all the main tonnage categories, and up in the tanker market from +16 in May 2017 to +31 this time. There were meanwhile small declines in net sentiment in the dry bulk and container ship trades, from +50 to +49 and from +34 to +23 respectively.

In a stand-alone question, respondents were asked to rank in order of priority what they considered to be the most significant new sources of finance for shipping over the next 12 months. Bank finance emerged as the first choice of 27% of respondents, followed by private equity (18%). Lease finance (14%) featured in third place, one percentage point ahead of shareholder funds. One respondent said: “Banks are being a lot tougher with owners, and it is good to see the demise of the CV and KG systems which generally did little to help the long-term viability of the industry.” Another observed: “For good owners, there is still capital available. But the worry is for the second and third-rung owners.”

Richard Greiner, Moore Stephens Partner, Shipping & Transports, says: “Another three months, and another rise in confidence in the shipping industry, albeit a small one. Confidence has been increasing steadily over the past 15 months, and industry players are more confident of making a major investment over the coming year than they have been at any time in the past three years. Moreover, net sentiment in all three main tonnage categories is positive, having almost doubled in the tanker sector over the past quarter.

“This welcome boost in confidence comes at a difficult time for the industry, beset by overtonnaging in many trades, the current and impending cost of regulatory compliance, and more widely by geo-political pressures. Clearly, shipping still has a lot to offer existing and new investors alike, both traditional and external.

“To some extent, success in the shipping industry is a question of being in the right place at the right time. But there is a lot of skill, knowledge and experience involved, too. It is good to see that confidence is still on the increase. They do say that it’s the hope that kills you but, in truth, the lack of it is likely to be far more damaging.”

To download a copy of the survey report please visit the Moore Stephens website:
https://www.moorestephens.co.uk/news-views/september-2017/shipping-confidence-continues-to-edge-upwards

Moore Stephens LLP is noted for a number of industry specialisations and is widely acknowledged as a leading shipping, offshore maritime and transport & logistics adviser. Moore Stephens LLP is a member firm of Moore Stephens International Limited, one of the world's leading accounting and consulting associations, with 626 offices of independent member firms in 108 countries, employing 27,997 people and generating revenues in 2016 of $2.7 billion. www.moorestephens.co.uk


For more information:
Richard Greiner
Moore Stephens LLP
Tel: +44 (0)20 7334 9191
richard.greiner@moorestephens.com






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Wednesday 13 September 2017

Young professionals say London shipping must be adaptable and competitive

A new survey by The Shipping Professional Network in London (SPNL) has found that London must adapt to a fast-changing environment and improve its competitive edge in order to remain a relevant global maritime centre. Respondents to the survey also identified access to the single market and freedom of movement as key negotiating issues for shipping in the UK’s exit from the European Union.

The survey, organised in conjunction with international accountant and shipping adviser Moore Stephens, canvassed the opinions of young professionals working primarily in the shipowning, shipbroking, shipmanagement, chartering, banking and ship finance, advisory and associated industries in London. Respondents were asked for their views of the current state of the market, and how they believed it would perform over the next 12 months. They were also asked to identify the key challenges facing London as a maritime centre, and which aspects of the Brexit negotiations they considered to be most important for the preservation and continued development of London as a centre of global maritime commerce.

Respondents recorded an overall confidence level of 6.1, out of a maximum possible score of 10.0, in the markets in which they operate. This compares with the rating of 6.2 recorded when the survey was run previously, in September 2015.

On a scale of 1 to 10, respondents expressed an overall expectation of 5.8 when asked to gauge the likelihood of their business making a major investment or significant development over the next 12 months. This was unchanged from two years ago.

Competition, demand trends, and the cost and availability of finance were identified by respondents as the three leading factors most likely to affect their business performance over the next 12 months. 55% of respondents expected finance costs to increase over the coming year, compared to the 48% who thought likewise in 2015.

Respondents were also asked for their opinion of likely rate movements in the tanker, dry bulk, container ship and offshore markets over the course of the next year. 31% overall thought that tanker rates were likely to increase, as against 35% in the 2015 survey. In the dry bulk sector, 60% of respondents expected rates to increase, compared to the 35% recorded in 2015. Meanwhile, 42% of respondents expected rates to rise during the next 12 months in the container ship market, compared to 29% in 2015, and 31% expected rates to rise in the offshore maritime market.

Respondents were provided with a list of key challenges facing London in order for it to remain a relevant global maritime centre, and asked to choose the three options which they considered to be most important, in order of priority. ‘Competitiveness’ (unchanged from the previous SPNL survey in 2015) and ‘Ability to adapt to a fast-changing environment’ (up from 17% on the 2015 figure) were each identified by 23% of respondents. ‘Taxation’ (unchanged at 18 %) was in third place.

The number of respondents who identified education as a key challenge was down from 11% to 9%, the same number who expressed concern about the likelihood of there being insufficient numbers of professionals and shipowners operating in London.

On the specific question of Brexit, 21% of respondents identified access to the single market as the most important issue in negotiations for the UK’s exit from the EU. Freedom of movement (18%) featured in second place, followed by taxation / VAT / customs duties (15%) and regulatory issues (10%). Other factors cited by respondents included the legal framework (9%), passporting rights (8%), political sanctions and competition law (both 7%) and dispute resolution (6%).

Claudio Chistè, Chairman of SPNL, says: “The past two years have seen a continuation of the extremely difficult conditions which have plagued global economies since the beginning of the financial downturn in 2008. So it is not surprising that the level of confidence expressed by young shipping professionals working in the London market has declined, albeit very slightly, over the past two years.

“At a time of great uncertainty and change in many parts of the world, every major decision in shipping has to be weighed in the political and environmental scales, as well as the economic ones. And every decision should be made in the knowledge that, in many trades, there are too many ships operating at below-break-even rates, with the inevitable result that not everybody engaged in those trades is going to make money.

“Other, more recent issues may seem less pressing by comparison, but they are assuming increasing importance. Cyber-crime, for example, was barely considered as a significant threat to the industry two years ago. Now it is very near the top of the list in the minds of many. The next two years will also be highly instructive when it comes to footing the bill for compliance with the Ballast Water Management Convention.

“With these new problems, it is just as well that the new generation of shipping professionals continues to expand, bringing with it an approach which is fresh yet still informed by the older generation of professionals which has seen the shipping industry through many years of cyclical promise and disappointment. It is encouraging that talented young professionals are still attracted to the industry. This is just as it should be because, despite the problems, the net sentiment gleaned from our survey in terms of the prospects for rate improvements over the next 12 months is positive in the three main tonnage categories. Moreover, respondents to our survey rated the prospect of their business making a major investment over the next 12 months at 5.8 out of a possible 10.0.

“Today’s shipping professionals have to deal with Brexit and the massive potential implications for their future. SPNL members were divided in their views about whether Brexit would be good or bad for London as a maritime centre. Similarly, there was a divergence of opinion as to how best London can confront the issues it faces in terms of competition from other global shipping centres.

“It is not only about cost. It is also about service, flexibility, experience and tradition. London needs its cadre of young maritime professionals, and over time those young professionals will become the older generation of London-based expertise and experience. The next generation of professionals in London needs to rise to the new challenges as previous generations have done over the centuries.”

The Shipping Professional Network in London (SPNL) was founded in 2007 as a meeting place for young shipping professionals in London. Its vision is to promote and enhance London as a maritime financial centre, and to be the 'voice' of young shipping professionals in London by engaging with the broader shipping community.


Moore Stephens LLP is noted for a number of industry specialisations and is widely acknowledged as one of the leading shipping, offshore maritime and transport & logistics advisers. Moore Stephens LLP is a member firm of Moore Stephens International Limited, one of the world's leading accounting and consulting associations, with 626 offices of independent member firms in 108 countries, employing 27,997 people and generating revenues in 2016 of $2.7 billion. www.moorestephens.co.uk


For more information:
Claudio Chistè
Chairman of SPNL
E: info@shippingnetwork.co.uk
W: www.spnl.co.uk

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Monday 11 September 2017

London P&I Club joins with BV in issuing blackout and engine failure guidance

The London P&I Club, in a joint project with leading classification society Bureau Veritas and its casualty and salvage subsidiary TMC Marine, has issued a new booklet providing operational guidance for preventing blackout and main engine failures.

This new publication, the second in a series on loss prevention subjects, focuses on marine engineering issues and procedures related to the prevention of loss of propulsion. Its purpose is to provide general guidance and practical advice to marine engineers and ship owners on blackout and main engine failures, the risks associated with loss of propulsion, and the precautions that can be taken to limit and prevent them.

London P&I Club loss prevention manager Carl Durow says, “The club has seen an increase in the number of machinery failure-related cases in recent years. In most cases, it is the timing and location of the incident which dictates the severity of the claim. This publication is aimed at raising awareness of the necessary good practices and post-incident investigation activities which in combination can result in significantly reducing the risk of major claims.”

The London P&I Club is one of the world’s leading mutual marine liability insurers. It is a prominent member of the International Group of P&I Clubs, playing a key role in co-ordinating and promoting the collective strength of the P&I industry on behalf of the global shipowning community. www.londonpandi.com

More information:
Carl Durow
London P&I Club
Carl.Durow@londonpandi.com
Tel: +44 (0)207 72 8039



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